Development plan for biogas / biomethane as fuel for heavy vehicles in France by 2033
Context & Objectives

Emerton has been appointed by AFGNV (The French Association of Natural Gas for Vehicles, today France Mobilité Gaz) to co-construct with the biogas ecosystem a development plan for biogas as fuel for heavy vehicles in France by 2033 and elaborate a support package for the public authorities.

Outcome

Emerton jointly elaborated with main market players a development plan which is commonly shared by the biogas ecosystem

Emerton proposed concrete measures to bring the development plan to the attention of public authorities

Report (known as Emerton AFGNV report) has been used as a reference document by the different stakeholders.

Our approach

Step 1: Assessment of as-is situation and  identification of biogas as fuel development drivers:

- Analysis of current fleet, fuel  characteristics and likely evolutions

-  Identification of the drivers of fuel  transition and their expected impacts on biogas’ share (regulation, etc.)

 

Step 2: Modeling of the demand evolution  in the 10 coming years

-  Construction of an analytical  projection model based on the annual vehicle registration rate and fuel  consumption

-  Co-definition of the assumptions  and modeling of the number of vehicles, biogas volumes, refueling stations…

 

Step 3: Analysis of regulatory context  likely to drive the use of biogas for heavy road transport

-  Identification of the structuring  measures necessary for the effective realization of the development plan

-  Detailed analysis on the price of  biogas as fuel and competitiveness with diesel

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